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Dengue diversity across spatial and temporal scales: Local structure and the effect of host population size
Maljkovic Berry - ไม่ระบุหน่วยงาน
ชื่อเรื่อง (EN): Dengue diversity across spatial and temporal scales: Local structure and the effect of host population size
ผู้แต่ง / หัวหน้าโครงการ (EN): Maljkovic Berry
บทคัดย่อ (EN): A fundamental mystery for dengue and other infectious pathogens is how observed patterns of cases relate to actual chains of individual transmission events. These pathways are intimately tied to the mechanisms by which strains interact and compete across spatial scales. Phylogeographic methods have been used to characterize pathogen dispersal at global and regional scales but have yielded few insights into the local spatiotemporal structure of endemic transmission. Using geolocated genotype (800 cases) and serotype (17,291 cases) data, we show that in Bangkok, Thailand, 60% of dengue cases living <200 meters apart come from the same transmission chain, as opposed to 3% of cases separated by 1 to 5 kilometers. At distances <200 meters from a case (encompassing an average of 1300 people in Bangkok), the effective number of chains is 1.7. This number rises by a factor of 7 for each 10-fold increase in the population of the "enclosed" region. This trend is observed regardless of whether population density or area increases, though increases in density over 7000 people per square kilometer do not lead to additional chains. Within Thailand these chains quickly mix, and by the next dengue season viral lineages are no longer highly spatially structured within the country. In contrast, viral flow to neighboring countries is limited. These findings are consistent with local, density-dependent transmission and implicate densely populated communities as key sources of viral diversity, with home location the focal point of transmission. These findings have important implications for targeted vector control and active surveillance.
บทคัดย่อ: ไม่พบข้อมูลจากหน่วยงานต้นทาง
ภาษา (EN): en
เอกสารแนบ (EN): http://nih.dmsc.moph.go.th/research/showimgdetil.php?id=514
เผยแพร่โดย (EN): 1 Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA 2 Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur, Paris, France. 3 CNRS, URA3012, Paris 75015, France 4 Center of Bioinformatics, Biostatistics and Integrative Biology, Institut Pasteur, Paris 75015, France 5 Viral Diseases Branch, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, MD, 20910, USA. 6 Department of Medicine, Upstate Medical University of New York, Syracuse, New York, NY, 13210, USA 7 Queen Sirikit National Institute of Child Health, Bangkok, Thailand 8 National Institute of Health, Department of Medical Sciences, Nonthaburi, Thailand 9 Department of Virology, Armed Forces Research Institute of Medical Sciences, Bangkok, Thailand 10 Department of Disease Control, Ministry of Public Health, Nonthaburi, Thailand 11 International Vaccine Institute, Seoul, South Korea 12 Department of Biology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32610, USA 13 Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32610, USA
คำสำคัญ (EN): host population size
เจ้าของลิขสิทธิ์ (EN): National Institute of Health, Department of Medical Science
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Dengue diversity across spatial and temporal scales: Local structure and the effect of host population size
Maljkovic Berry
1 Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA 2 Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur, Paris, France. 3 CNRS, URA3012, Paris 75015, France 4 Center of Bioinformatics, Biostatistics and Integrative Biology, Institut Pasteur, Paris 75015, France 5 Viral Diseases Branch, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Silver Spring, MD, 20910, USA. 6 Department of Medicine, Upstate Medical University of New York, Syracuse, New York, NY, 13210, USA 7 Queen Sirikit National Institute of Child Health, Bangkok, Thailand 8 National Institute of Health, Department of Medical Sciences, Nonthaburi, Thailand 9 Department of Virology, Armed Forces Research Institute of Medical Sciences, Bangkok, Thailand 10 Department of Disease Control, Ministry of Public Health, Nonthaburi, Thailand 11 International Vaccine Institute, Seoul, South Korea 12 Department of Biology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32610, USA 13 Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32610, USA
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